One of the biggest figures in the study of the prophets in the late 1800’s/early 1900’s was Bernard Duhm. In case you haven’t heard of him, he’s the guy who separated Isaiah into the major collections of chapters 1-39, 40-55, and 56-66. Before his commentary on Isaiah in which he presented his arguments for the division of the book, in 1875 he wrote a theology of the prophets entitled, Die Theologie der Propheten. However, he did not publish ANYTHING, not even an article or short note, for 17 years until the first edition of his Isaiah commentary came out.
So, do you think Duhm would get tenure today? Probably not. Maybe we need to rethink setting page count minimums and such in tenure reviews. Sometimes good ideas need time to percolate. Furthermore, I think there are too many writings of bad quality constantly being churned out–this might be partly explained because young scholars are fearful of falling short of publishing minimums and they put out stuff that they might not otherwise.
So, what would change with tenure reviews?